TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
There is broad market optimism with rising equities and falling yields and the dollar. How long will it last remains unclear, but labor market data later this week for July should shed some helpful light on the state of the economy.
Stay tuned for more details all week as always.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of August 4,, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.64 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.895 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of July 17, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 54.4 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 91.2 | → Flat |
| GDP as of August 3, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 6.2% | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of July 2, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.2% | ↓ Down |
| Inflation as of July 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | ↓ Down |
| Containerized Freight Index as of August 3, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 136.7 | ↓ Down |