TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Yields and the dollar continued higher for this shortened week. Tomorrow will be a big day for labor market data. Right now the market is essentially in a holding pattern despite the material structural challenges that face consumption and GDP.
Stay tuned as always!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of July 1, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.463 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 101.363 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of June 26, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 49.5 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 93.1 | → Flat |
| GDP as of June 25, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 2.5% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of June 5, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of June 25, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.4% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of July 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 139.6 | ↑ Up |