TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Yields and the dollar are back up with a global bond sell off driving yields and the dollar, along with oil price increases. There appears to be no end in sight for the volatility in yields as both the market, governments, and central bankers are left questioning what will be a catalyst for longer term stability in bond appetite.
Stay tuned all week.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of October 7, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 5.5.311 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 102.314 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of September 30, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 48.1 | → Flat |
| Conference Board4 | 81.9 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of October 6, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.7 | → Flat |
| Unemployment as of October 2, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.2% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of September 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of October 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 135.7 | ↑ Up |