TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

It was a long weekend for markets, and coming out of it is more pain in credit markets. Bond prices fell (yields rose) and the dollar advanced on the ongoing uncertainty between Iran and the U.S. as to whether a deal can be forged. Inflation and sovereign risks are getting re-priced in to what was a gradual easing in the last week.

Stay tuned as this will likely be another formative week in our understanding of the future of the chaotic and uncertain credit markets.

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of June 22, 2026
10 Year Yields14.509↑ Up
U.S. Dollar Index2100.989↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of June 15, 2026
MSCI348.9↑ Up
Conference Board493.1→ Flat
GDP as of June 16, 2026
GDPNow53.0%↓ Down
Unemployment as of June 5, 2026
Unemployment64.3%→ Flat
Inflation as of May 28, 2026
Core PCE73.3%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of June 1, 2026
TSI8138.7↓ Down