TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
On a day where equities tepid, yields and the dollar rose, indicating ongoing concerns around this week's CPI prints (tomorrow we get PPI ,which will help us gauge inflationary momentum more broadly). Looks like absent a dramatic shift in some part of the economy, rates are likely to march higher next month. We'll keep track as we get closer as to the magnitude of potential hikes.
Stay tuned as always!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of November 12, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 5.085 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 103.151 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of November 9, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 51 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 91.7 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of November 9, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.5 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of November 6, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.1% | ↓ Down |
| Inflation as of October 29, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.1% | ↓ Down |
| Containerized Freight Index as of November 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 134.4 | ↑ Up |