TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

Yields and the dollar both rose following remarks in Jackson Hole from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who noted that getting inflation to the Fed's target 2% remains a goal. No clear policy was detailed as to how that may happen, but markets responded by pricing in higher interest rates to ease inflation's grip on the economy. And backward adjustments to the labor market indicate it is not adding as many jobs as previously reported.

Stay tuned next week as new jobs data is dropped.

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of August 28, 2026
10 Year Yields14.722↑ Up
U.S. Dollar Index299.667↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of August 25, 2026
MSCI351.0↓ Down
Conference Board489.4↓ Down
GDP as of August 26, 2026
GDPNow54.6%↑ Up
Unemployment as of August 7, 2026
Unemployment64.1%↓ Down
Inflation as of August 26, 2026
Core PCE73.3%→ Flat
Containerized Freight Index as of August 3, 2026
TSI8136.7↓ Down