TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
No material changes day to day with credit conditions. The market is still pricing in inflation and higher rates. Consumer confidence data will be released later this week, which isn't expected to show a radical departure of weak sentiment.
Stay tuned though as things can always change quickly.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of May 20, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.649 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.389 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of May 8, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 48.2 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 92.8 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of May 14, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 4.0% | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of May 8, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of April 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.2% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of May 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 139.8 | ↑ Up |