TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
The commencement of the U.N. General Assembly this week has ushered in some hopes of a potential diplomatic solution to the conflict in the Middle East. That along with some broader oil supply growth has led credit markets higher with a yields falling incrementally from their highs last week. There still seems to be a long way to go, and the Fed's rate hike last week, while expected, does not appear to have constrained much growth in the economy in the short-term.
Stay tuned for more updates this week, as always!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of September 22, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.949 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 100.503 | → Flat |
| Consumer Confidence as of September 11, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 47.9 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 89.4 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of September 17, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 5.1% | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of September 4, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.1% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of August 26, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of September 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 134.9 | ↓ Down |