TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Rates remain steady ahead of the Fed's meeting, while the dollar continues its slide on a weak fiscal situation in the U.S. GDP growth as measured appears to be accelerating, but the growth is coinciding with a reduction in net imports and rising prices, so basically people are paying for less with more. Not a great scenario for long-term price and rate stability. Lots of challenges in this economy to navigate.
Stay tuned!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of September 16, 2025 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.045 | → Flat |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 96.85 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of September 12, 2025 | ||
| MSCI3 | 55.4 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 97.4 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of September 16, 2025 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.4 | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of September 5, 2025 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of August 29, 2025 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 2.90% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of September 10, 2025 | ||
| TSI8 | 137.4 | → Flat |