TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

The tech and AI sell off that hit this week is starting to bring yields down, but mostly as a flight to quality resumes. Conflict in the Middle East continues to shape the credit landscape. Diesel prices in the U.S., which move the majority of freight, are poised to drive more inflation for the U.S. consumer. Despite this, consumer sentiment has improved a bit since June, though that's mainly on lower gas prices (those prices are likely to go back up a bit now that conflict has returned).

Have a great weekend! Check back next week for more updates!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of July 17, 2026
10 Year Yields14.525↓ Down
U.S. Dollar Index2100.741↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of July 17, 2026
MSCI354.4↑ Up
Conference Board491.2→ Flat
GDP as of July 16, 2026
GDPNow51.7%↑ Up
Unemployment as of July 2, 2026
Unemployment64.2%↓ Down
Inflation as of June 25, 2026
Core PCE73.4%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of July 1, 2026
TSI8139.6↑ Up