TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Oil is back up, along with yields and the dollar after a brief slide over the weekend, returning to levels reported at the end of last week. Economic headwinds remain, but this will be a big week for data drops: Core PCE and the September jobs report both coming out this week. Stay tuned as we track the market's expectations and reaction.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of September 28, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 5.209 | → Flat |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 101.114 | → Flat |
| Consumer Confidence as of September 11, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 47.9 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 89.4 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of September 25, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 5.0% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of September 4, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.1% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of August 26, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of September 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 134.9 | ↓ Down |