TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Yields are down, and the dollar is up. There is renewed certainty that maybe uncertainty will wane if the government opens up and economic data is released. Economic conditions remain adequate for now, but there is an uneasiness in credit markets around future rate policies and inflation.
Stay tuned, and perhaps we will know if later this month we will get some new economic data!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of November 12, 2025 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.069 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.62 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of November 7, 2025 | ||
| MSCI3 | 50.3 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 94.6 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of October 27, 2025 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.9 | → Flat |
| Unemployment as of September 5, 2025 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of August 29, 2025 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 2.90% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of September 10, 2025 | ||
| TSI8 | 137.4 | → Flat |