TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Both yields and the dollar inched higher on Friday to close out the week based off comments from the Treasury Secretary that more interventions could be needed. There is a lot of debt out in the market and perhaps it is beginning to compete with treasuries, in addition to the ongoing deficit spending that has become commonplace in the U.S.
Have a great weekend and check back next week for more updates!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of August 21, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.728 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 98.861 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of August 14, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 51.0 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 90.8 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of August 18, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 4.0% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of August 7, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.1% | ↓ Down |
| Inflation as of July 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | ↓ Down |
| Containerized Freight Index as of August 3, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 136.7 | ↓ Down |