TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

Labor market reported 172 thousand new jobs, with big jumps in leisure and hospitality, food service, and of course healthcare. This is sending yields higher due to the growing evidence that rates may in fact need a hike before the end of the year. Backward revisions up on employment levels were also included in this release, further supporting the stagflationary trends that have been weighing on the economy for more than a year now.

Have a great weekend.

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of June 5, 2026
10 Year Yields14.53↑ Up
U.S. Dollar Index299.522↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of May 26, 2026
MSCI344.8↓ Down
Conference Board493.1→ Flat
GDP as of June 1, 2026
GDPNow53.0%↓ Down
Unemployment as of June 5, 2026
Unemployment64.3%→ Flat
Inflation as of May 28, 2026
Core PCE73.3%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of June 1, 2026
TSI8138.7↓ Down