TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Equities are slumping...which is driving the rotation toward fixed income and bringing down yields and the dollar. The AI fear index is broadly sweeping across public and private markets, and suddenly U.S. government debt is looking a little less concerning.
Stay tuned next week when February data begins to drop and have a great weekend!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of February 27, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 3.975 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 97.656 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of February 24, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 56.6 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 91.2 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of February 25, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.1 | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of February 11, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | ↓ Down |
| Inflation as of February 20, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 2.90% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of February 2, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 138.5 | ↑ Up |