TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

The Fed cut the benchmark rate on Wednesday, sending 10 year yields and the dollar lower. The Fed chair in part noted that it believes joblessness is being under reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, overstating openings by 60 thousand jobs per month. That could spell a very different picture for the labor market than we have been told by the departments. And due to the government shutdown we are still operating in a data shadow with growing uncertainty.

Stay tuned!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of December 11, 2025
10 Year Yields14.12↓ Down
U.S. Dollar Index298.168↓ Down
Consumer Confidence as of December 5, 2025
MSCI353.3↑ Up
Conference Board488.7↓ Down
GDP as of December 8, 2025
GDPNow53.5↓ Down
Unemployment as of November 20, 2025
Unemployment64.4%↑ Up
Inflation as of December 5, 2025
Core PCE72.80%↓ Down
Containerized Freight Index as of November 13, 2025
TSI8136.2↓ Down