TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
It was a long weekend for markets, and coming out of it is more pain in credit markets. Bond prices fell (yields rose) and the dollar advanced on the ongoing uncertainty between Iran and the U.S. as to whether a deal can be forged. Inflation and sovereign risks are getting re-priced in to what was a gradual easing in the last week.
Stay tuned as this will likely be another formative week in our understanding of the future of the chaotic and uncertain credit markets.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of June 22, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.509 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 100.989 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of June 15, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 48.9 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 93.1 | → Flat |
| GDP as of June 16, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.0% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of June 5, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of May 28, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of June 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 138.7 | ↓ Down |