TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Treasuries remain flat today, but the news from the Fed yesterday about the increased likelihood for rate hikes this year has sent the dollar to recent highs relative to other currencies. Treasuries are not reacting much to the signing of the MOU by Iran and the U.S. in a signal of caution.
Tomorrow is a holiday, so we should be in for a quiet end to the week.
Stay tuned as always!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of June 18, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.43 | → Flat |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 100.639 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of June 15, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 48.9 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 93.1 | → Flat |
| GDP as of June 16, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.0% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of June 5, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of May 28, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of June 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 138.7 | ↓ Down |