TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Wrapping up the week, oil prices remain high, and yields and the dollar continue to rise to highs not seen for a while. January PCE inflation measures came in hotter than what the market was expecting, and of course we know labor remains soft. Indicators are flashing red in a lot of corners of the market now, and with the uncertainty around the conflict in Iran, credit conditions are likely to remain under pressure.
Stay tuned for more insights, and have a great weekend!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of March 13, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.267 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 100.186 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of February 24, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 56.6 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 91.2 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of March 12, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 2.7 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of March 6, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.4% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of March 13, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.10% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of March 2, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 137.8 | ↓ Down |