TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Yields and the dollar eased nominally overnight, with mixed messages on how long and how disruptive the fighting in the Middle East will be. Oil supply pressure will remain until either Oil begins to move, or demand erodes enough to match the level of output.
Unemployment will be released tomorrow. Stay tuned for our updates on what that means for rates and the economy as a whole.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of June 4, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.46 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.34 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of May 26, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 44.8 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 93.1 | → Flat |
| GDP as of June 1, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.0% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of May 8, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of May 28, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of June 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 138.7 | ↓ Down |