TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
The conflict (war?) in Iran is now being taken seriously by markets. Yields are up, the dollar is up, and equities are down. Oil prices are up on supply constraints, and questions persist about where this conflict is going. Expect increased volatility and inflationary pressures for the foreseeable future. And rates should remain higher for longer.
Stay tuned as always.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of March 9, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.146 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.136 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of February 24, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 56.6 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 91.2 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of March 6, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 2.1 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of March 6, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.4% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of February 20, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 2.90% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of February 2, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 138.5 | ↑ Up |