TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

Inflation came in at 3.4% for the month of August, at least according to the CPI print released today. That sent rate hike expectations later this month higher, but conversely, kept yields on the ten year mostly flat to a little down signaling that inflation may be addressed by the Fed sooner than later. Consumer confidence regained its downward momentum as well with consumers worried about ongoing inflationary pressures and affordability concerns.

Have a great weekend and stay tuned as always!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of September 11, 2026
10 Year Yields14.93→ Flat
U.S. Dollar Index299.044↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of September 11, 2026
MSCI347.9↓ Down
Conference Board489.4↓ Down
GDP as of September 10, 2026
GDPNow54.4%↓ Down
Unemployment as of September 4, 2026
Unemployment64.1%→ Flat
Inflation as of August 26, 2026
Core PCE73.3%→ Flat
Containerized Freight Index as of September 1, 2026
TSI8134.9↓ Down