TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Markets appear to be waiting and seeing after comments that the White House made about leaving Iran. Oil prices remain high but futures have come down a bit. This could be more noise, or a meaningful easing of hostilities. So far, it looks like the threat of hostilities remains high given troop movements and Iranian rejections of White House claims.
Stay tuned for more all week.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of March 31, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.311 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 100.03 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of March 31, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 53.3 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 91.2 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of March 20, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 2.0 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of March 6, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.4% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of March 13, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.10% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of March 2, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 137.8 | ↓ Down |