TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
It's a positive end to the week, with yields dropping (along with the dollar). The market is expecting less stress than it was at the beginning of the week. Consumer confidence is just a touch higher, and AI Investment continues to drive the U.S. economy toward growth.
Have a great weekend, and stay tuned next week as we get more information, including April labor market conditions.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of May 1, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.352 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 97.759 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of April 28, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 49.8 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 92.8 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of April 30, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.7% | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of April 3, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | ↓ Down |
| Inflation as of April 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.2% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of May 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 139.8 | ↑ Up |