TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Inflation came in at 3.4% for the month of August, at least according to the CPI print released today. That sent rate hike expectations later this month higher, but conversely, kept yields on the ten year mostly flat to a little down signaling that inflation may be addressed by the Fed sooner than later. Consumer confidence regained its downward momentum as well with consumers worried about ongoing inflationary pressures and affordability concerns.
Have a great weekend and stay tuned as always!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of September 11, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.93 | → Flat |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.044 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of September 11, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 47.9 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 89.4 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of September 10, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 4.4% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of September 4, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.1% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of August 26, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of September 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 134.9 | ↓ Down |