TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
No material changes in the yields or the dollar interday this week, despite a dramatic drop in oil prices in the past few days. The concepts of a deal and how and when oil will resume movement through the Strait remain unclear. Inflationary pressures remain elevated while growth in the labor market is limited.
Stay tuned as we continue to unwrap this week's developments.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of June 16, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.451 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.69 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of May 26, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 44.8 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 93.1 | → Flat |
| GDP as of June 9, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.3% | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of June 5, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of May 28, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of June 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 138.7 | ↓ Down |