TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Yields and the dollar are rising as we approach the weekend (and Fed Rate details). Also the President is floating more strikes in the Middle East, which is likely to spook investors. Core PCE should also reveal where inflation sits (in addition to what we already know from the month's PPI and CPI releases.
Stay tuned!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of October 28, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 5.028 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 102.337 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of October 23, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 48 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 81.9 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of October 28, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.3 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of October 2, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.2% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of September 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of October 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 135.7 | ↑ Up |