TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Yields and the dollar are back up over the weekend. Oil inventories are getting lower across several end markets and hostilities continue in the Straight of Hormuz. The credit world is still resoundingly noting that the economic condition is fragile.
More data this week including the May labor market report. Stay tuned as always!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of June 1, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.50 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.312 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of May 26, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 44.8 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 93.1 | → Flat |
| GDP as of May 28, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.8% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of May 8, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of May 28, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of May 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 139.8 | ↑ Up |