TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

Consumer confidence came in very low today, which is no surprise given the run up in gas prices. But, yields are modestly down from their highs earlier in the week. Thing is, the oil issues in Iran are not exactly the only reason causing bond yields to move up, so it's hard to believe they will be coming down meaningfully. That being said, a new Fed Chair is being sworn in today and other governors are now signaling the possibility of a hike coming.

Have a great holiday weekend and see you all next week!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of May 22, 2026
10 Year Yields14.58↓ Down
U.S. Dollar Index299.325→ Flat
Consumer Confidence as of May 22, 2026
MSCI344.8↓ Down
Conference Board492.8↑ Up
GDP as of May 21, 2026
GDPNow54.3%↑ Up
Unemployment as of May 8, 2026
Unemployment64.3%→ Flat
Inflation as of April 30, 2026
Core PCE73.2%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of May 1, 2026
TSI8139.8↑ Up