TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Yields have come down over the weekend in a flight to quality. Oil prices remain high and the risks from Iran portend a prolonged conflict despite what the U.S. administration is saying.
Confidence is also down this month on higher inflation and the sudden increase in energy prices.
Stay tuned all week as more data drops.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of March 31, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.328 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 100.502 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of March 31, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 53.3 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 91.2 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of March 20, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 2.0 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of March 6, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.4% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of March 13, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.10% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of March 2, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 137.8 | ↓ Down |