TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Quiet end of the week with yields slipping down and the dollar largely flat from Wednesday. Expectations of more rate cuts seem to be on the horizon, but longer term rates (like the 10 year Treasury) remain somewhat elevated.
Check back next week for more updates.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of December 26, 2025 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.124 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 97.952 | → Flat |
| Consumer Confidence as of December 23, 2025 | ||
| MSCI3 | 52.9 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 89.1 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of December 23, 2025 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.0 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of December 16, 2025 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.6% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of December 5, 2025 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 2.80% | ↓ Down |
| Containerized Freight Index as of December 10, 2025 | ||
| TSI8 | 136.5 | → Flat |