TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
More attacks in Iran resulted in rising yields and a flat dollar, further eroding risks in the economy. Later this week we expect a jobs release that will provide one of the last real signals (apart from CPI) before the next Fed meeting in September.
Stay tuned as it could be an interesting week.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of August 31, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.756 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.424 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of August 28, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 51.7 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 89.4 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of August 26, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 4.6% | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of August 7, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.1% | ↓ Down |
| Inflation as of August 26, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of August 3, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 136.7 | ↓ Down |