TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

Markets are reacting favorably to Trump's statements that the U.S. will be out of Iran in two to three weeks. That being said, more troops and resources are being sent to the Middle East, so actions may not be in sync with words. But yields fell slightly, along with the dollar, on the news. President Trump's address may offer some clues as to the U.S.'s goals and objectives, which so far have not been clearly or consistently conveyed to markets. Fed Chair Powell's statements earlier this week set the expectation for higher yields and the market is not pricing in more rate cuts for the year as of today.

Some key macro data drops this week, so stay tuned as always!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of April 1, 2026
10 Year Yields14.281↓ Down
U.S. Dollar Index299.401↓ Down
Consumer Confidence as of March 31, 2026
MSCI353.3↓ Down
Conference Board491.2↑ Up
GDP as of March 20, 2026
GDPNow52.0↓ Down
Unemployment as of March 6, 2026
Unemployment64.4%↑ Up
Inflation as of March 13, 2026
Core PCE73.10%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of March 2, 2026
TSI8137.8↓ Down