TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Inflation continues to rise, but consumer spending remains resilient enough to mitigate its short-term pain. Yields and the dollar are slightly down today, indicating the flight to quality trends remain present. And GDP is on track to grow slower than inflation for the year.
Stay tuned for more updates as we round out the week!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of June 25, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.38 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 101.39 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of June 15, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 48.9 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 93.1 | → Flat |
| GDP as of June 25, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 2.5% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of June 5, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of June 25, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.4% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of June 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 138.7 | ↓ Down |