TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

The bond market generally shrugged at the announcement that President Trump would nominate Kevin Warsh as the new Chair of the Federal Reserve. So perhaps that suggests he won't be as dovish on rates as perhaps the President hopes.

Yields rose over the weekend, along with the dollar. And speculation around precious metals like Gold and Silver is correcting following a speculative bubble in Asia.

Have a great week and stay tuned.

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of February 2, 2026
10 Year Yields14.275↑ Up
U.S. Dollar Index297.565↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of January 27, 2026
MSCI356.4↑ Up
Conference Board484.5↓ Down
GDP as of February 2, 2026
GDPNow54.2→ Flat
Unemployment as of January 9, 2026
Unemployment64.4%↑ Up
Inflation as of January 22, 2025
Core PCE72.80%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of December 10, 2025
TSI8136.5→ Flat