TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

Wrapping up the week, oil prices remain high, and yields and the dollar continue to rise to highs not seen for a while. January PCE inflation measures came in hotter than what the market was expecting, and of course we know labor remains soft. Indicators are flashing red in a lot of corners of the market now, and with the uncertainty around the conflict in Iran, credit conditions are likely to remain under pressure.

Stay tuned for more insights, and have a great weekend!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of March 13, 2026
10 Year Yields14.267↑ Up
U.S. Dollar Index2100.186↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of February 24, 2026
MSCI356.6↓ Down
Conference Board491.2↑ Up
GDP as of March 12, 2026
GDPNow52.7↓ Down
Unemployment as of March 6, 2026
Unemployment64.4%↑ Up
Inflation as of March 13, 2026
Core PCE73.10%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of March 2, 2026
TSI8137.8↓ Down