TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Yields continued higher, while the dollar weakened relative to major currencies. Macro risks remain as we head into the home stretch of the holiday season. Investors resumed their enthusiasm for equities to start the week, but gold is at a record once again! Disruptive markets continues to be the name of the game.
Stay tuned for a quiet week of data releases.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of December 22, 2025 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.161 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 98.243 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of December 19, 2025 | ||
| MSCI3 | 52.9 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 88.7 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of December 16, 2025 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.5 | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of December 16, 2025 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.6% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of December 5, 2025 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 2.80% | ↓ Down |
| Containerized Freight Index as of December 10, 2025 | ||
| TSI8 | 136.5 | → Flat |