TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
The weekend ceasefire did not hold, and while markets are not thrilled about the changes, they are not pricing in radical changes in risk either. The seized Iranian tanker is not a structural shift in the landscape or disruption of oil supply. Yields and the dollar are modestly up.
Stay tuned as a little more data trickles in this week.
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of April 20, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.262 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 98.123 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of April 10, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 47.6 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 91.2 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of April 9, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 1.3% | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of April 3, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | ↓ Down |
| Inflation as of April 9, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.0% | ↓ Down |
| Containerized Freight Index as of April 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 136.4 | ↓ Down |