TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
The weekend is over, and with it a new week. Gone is the gloomy equities sentiment of the last few trading days, and back resumes a modest return to optimism around AI growth. Yields are up as a result as investors shift out of treasuries. Recall though last week that inflation appears to be accelerating based on CPI and PPI figures from September. Buckle up, it looks like the volatility is likely to continue in credit markets.
Stay tuned as always!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of October 19, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 5.127 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 101.927 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of October 9, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 46.3 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 81.9 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of October 15, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.6 | → Flat |
| Unemployment as of October 2, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.2% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of September 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of October 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 135.7 | ↑ Up |