TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Another day, another period of high volatility. Oil prices are rising, and tech sentiment is softening, driving yields and the dollar lower. The U.S. appears to be positioning for more strikes in the Middle East, souring sentiment ahead of the U.S. Midterm elections.
Stay tuned tomorrow as we wrap up our week!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of October 22, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 5.009 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 101.771 | ↓ Down |
| Consumer Confidence as of October 9, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 46.3 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 81.9 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of October 20, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.5 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of October 2, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.2% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of September 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of October 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 135.7 | ↑ Up |