TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

The market is quieter today after Thursday's sell off. Yields edged lower while the dollar inched higher. Consumer confidence remains low despite a very modest uptick after the federal government reopened. Going into the key shopping season, employment and inflation remain the order of the day, and unfortunately, the Fed just learned it won't get its preferred Core PCE data that measures inflation in time for its next meeting. Continue flying blind!

Have a great weekend!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of November 21, 2025
10 Year Yields14.077↓ Down
U.S. Dollar Index2100.363↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of November 21, 2025
MSCI351→ Flat
Conference Board494.6↓ Down
GDP as of November 19, 2025
GDPNow54.2↑ Up
Unemployment as of November 20, 2025
Unemployment64.4%↑ Up
Inflation as of August 29, 2025
Core PCE72.90%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of November 13, 2025
TSI8136.2↓ Down