TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
We have a Fed Chair candidate named. Kevin Warsh. Credit markets are reacting with a shrug. Warsh has more recently indicated he is in favor of rate cuts, but in the past he has been an inflation hawk, so we'll see where the cards land (if he's approved of course). The dollar strengthened nominally, while yields remained relatively stable over night.
Have a great weekend, and stay tuned for more updates next week!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of January 30, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.247 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 96.858 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of January 27, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 56.4 | ↑ Up |
| Conference Board4 | 84.5 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of January 30, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 4.2 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of January 9, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.4% | ↑ Up |
| Inflation as of January 22, 2025 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 2.80% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of December 10, 2025 | ||
| TSI8 | 136.5 | → Flat |