TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Credit markets are waking up to the risks of the longer conflict (war) now with yields higher and the dollar continuing to advance. Inflationary pressures are reducing the likelihood of further rate cuts any time soon and the price of energy is rising, so we are hitting core and headline inflation drivers.
Stay tuned, as things change fast!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of March 5, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.132 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.258 | ↑ Up |
| Consumer Confidence as of February 24, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 56.6 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 91.2 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of March 2, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 3.0 | ↓ Down |
| Unemployment as of February 11, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | ↓ Down |
| Inflation as of February 20, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 2.90% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of February 2, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 138.5 | ↑ Up |