TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Consumer confidence came in very low today, which is no surprise given the run up in gas prices. But, yields are modestly down from their highs earlier in the week. Thing is, the oil issues in Iran are not exactly the only reason causing bond yields to move up, so it's hard to believe they will be coming down meaningfully. That being said, a new Fed Chair is being sworn in today and other governors are now signaling the possibility of a hike coming.
Have a great holiday weekend and see you all next week!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of May 22, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 4.58 | ↓ Down |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 99.325 | → Flat |
| Consumer Confidence as of May 22, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 44.8 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 92.8 | ↑ Up |
| GDP as of May 21, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 4.3% | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of May 8, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.3% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of April 30, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.2% | ↑ Up |
| Containerized Freight Index as of May 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 139.8 | ↑ Up |