TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

On a day where equities tepid, yields and the dollar rose, indicating ongoing concerns around this week's CPI prints (tomorrow we get PPI ,which will help us gauge inflationary momentum more broadly). Looks like absent a dramatic shift in some part of the economy, rates are likely to march higher next month. We'll keep track as we get closer as to the magnitude of potential hikes.

Stay tuned as always!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of November 12, 2026
10 Year Yields15.085↑ Up
U.S. Dollar Index2103.151↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of November 9, 2026
MSCI351↑ Up
Conference Board491.7↑ Up
GDP as of November 9, 2026
GDPNow53.5↓ Down
Unemployment as of November 6, 2026
Unemployment64.1%↓ Down
Inflation as of October 29, 2026
Core PCE73.1%↓ Down
Containerized Freight Index as of November 1, 2026
TSI8134.4↑ Up