TRA Macro Tracking Index
Current Outlook
Oil prices pushed yields and the dollar higher this Friday, and with the U.N. General Assembly kicking off next week, perhaps some diplomacy that could give clarity around the future of the conflict in the Middle East. In the meantime, we continue to digest the prospect of higher interest rates off this week's rate hike, along with the likelihood of further rate hikes at the October and December meetings later this year.
Have a great weekend, and check back next week for more insights!
| Variable + Date | Value | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Macro Indicators as of September 18, 2026 | ||
| 10 Year Yields1 | 5.008 | ↑ Up |
| U.S. Dollar Index2 | 100.444 | → Flat |
| Consumer Confidence as of September 11, 2026 | ||
| MSCI3 | 47.9 | ↓ Down |
| Conference Board4 | 89.4 | ↓ Down |
| GDP as of September 17, 2026 | ||
| GDPNow5 | 5.1% | ↑ Up |
| Unemployment as of September 4, 2026 | ||
| Unemployment6 | 4.1% | → Flat |
| Inflation as of August 26, 2026 | ||
| Core PCE7 | 3.3% | → Flat |
| Containerized Freight Index as of September 1, 2026 | ||
| TSI8 | 134.9 | ↓ Down |