TRA Macro Tracking Index

Current Outlook

We have a Fed Chair candidate named. Kevin Warsh. Credit markets are reacting with a shrug. Warsh has more recently indicated he is in favor of rate cuts, but in the past he has been an inflation hawk, so we'll see where the cards land (if he's approved of course). The dollar strengthened nominally, while yields remained relatively stable over night.

Have a great weekend, and stay tuned for more updates next week!

Variable + DateValueDirection
Macro Indicators as of January 30, 2026
10 Year Yields14.247↑ Up
U.S. Dollar Index296.858↑ Up
Consumer Confidence as of January 27, 2026
MSCI356.4↑ Up
Conference Board484.5↓ Down
GDP as of January 30, 2026
GDPNow54.2↓ Down
Unemployment as of January 9, 2026
Unemployment64.4%↑ Up
Inflation as of January 22, 2025
Core PCE72.80%↑ Up
Containerized Freight Index as of December 10, 2025
TSI8136.5→ Flat